Tuesday, September 22, 2009

I seem to suck this year...

Off to a rough start this year. Three leagues, two weeks and a 1-5 record. So what's the problem?

None, really. In Week 2 I went 0-3, but all my teams scored pretty well. Sometimes it's just a bad matchup situation. In League 1 (my main team), I ran into an opponent with both Chris and Andre Johnson, who combined for 71 points. League 2, similar issue -- a good, close match that I lost to a couple great performance -- Dallas Clark on MNF and Charles Woodson, with his 23.5 points from the CB position. These things happen. League Three? An even matchup based on Yahoo's (sometimes goofy) projections. I outperformed my projections by ten, but lost by 34 due to big days by Frank Gore and Ronnie Brown. Sigh...

Looking at my teams, it's easy to second-guess. But I'm still pretty pleased with my drafts. Looking back, there were some oddities -- like ending up with Steven Jackson on all three teams. I hadn't especially targeted him, but did have him rated 5th overall. I ended up getting him at #17 overall in League 1 (awesome!), #5 in league 2 (acutally my first draft), and #8 in League 3 (my last draft, and the only live draft). And yeah, I made a couple mistakes along the way (Brandon Marshall seemed like a value at #61 overall...). But nothing serious.

Other commonalities in my teams -- I grabbed Josh Wilson as my first IDP choice in all three leagues. Maybe not the wisest thing to do. It probably pays in the long run to diversify a bit. OTOH, I also have Percy Harvin on all three teams, and wouldn't change those picks for anything. Eddie Royal? On two of my teams. People were cussing me out when I snagged him #57, so it's hard to regret that. He'll come around. (Not sure I can say the same about Brandon...)

So it's been a rough ride through two weeks. I've lost Josh to injury (plus Urlacher in two leagues). Most of my offensive studs have been ineffective (looking at you, Matt Forte!). And I've run up against some of the top performances in my leagues. I've got to believe this will even out -- that I'll be that guy squaking out a close, low-scoring win, that one of my IDPs or TEs will win me a game, and/or that some of my high upside guys will have a big week now and then.

Anyway, I'm confident the Week 3 will see the start of a turnaround. It can't much worse, right?

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